The latest data shows that the monthly retail sales rate in the United States in December was significantly better than expected, laying a solid foundation for the start of the new year's economy. Based on previous statements from Federal Reserve officials, the timing of the shift in the tightening cycle may be delayed. Federal funds rate futures show that the probability of a rate cut in March has significantly decreased, and the space for a full year rate cut has also decreased. Investors are starting to reassess the outlook for Federal Reserve policy.