Is it strange or not? Federal Reserve officials have repeatedly raised their "hawks", but the probability of a December interest rate cut is still increasing! The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December once exceeded 80%, the three major stock indexes in the United States hit a new historical high, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 45000 points for the first time, and the prices of US Treasury bonds of all maturities have also risen one after another - if we look at the outcome, last night's US financial market was clearly immersed in a sea of joy. However, it is interesting that several Federal Reserve officials who delivered speeches that day had a clearly hawkish attitude.