Goldman Sachs pointed out that with the election of the new Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, Republicans are likely to demand spending cuts of up to $120 billion, which will make it difficult to reach a long-term spending agreement. The disagreement over Ukraine's funding issue may also complicate expenditure negotiations. However, under the same other conditions, the recent developments in Israel have reduced the possibility of the government suspending operations in November. At present, Goldman Sachs believes that the government shutdown in November is a close call, and they will continue to suspend for 2-3 weeks as the basic situation, which will reduce the country's GDP growth rate by about 0.5 percentage points in the fourth quarter and maintain the same level in the first quarter of next year.