The US heavyweight data reveals that gold and silver have risen in a straight line. Will interest rates be lowered this year? The final quarter on quarter discount rate for GDP in the first quarter is 1.4%, with an estimated 1.4% and a revised 1.3%. The final quarter on quarter discount rate of the core PCE price index in the first quarter of the United States is 3.7%, with an estimated 3.6% and a revised value of 3.6%. The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States for the week ending June 22nd was 233000, with an expected 235000, compared to the previous value of 238000. The Federal Reserve's Bostic statement stated that inflation is moving in the "right direction" and may lower interest rates in the fourth quarter. It is expected that there will be four quarterly rate cuts in 2025, each of which will be 25 basis points; I hope to have an absolute certainty that the inflation rate will return to 2% before the initial interest rate cut, which should be seen as the first step in a series of interest rate cuts; The Federal Reserve can achieve 2% inflation while the job market remains "tight" by historical standards; The service industry indicates that pricing power is declining, but still believes that housing inflation will "return to the right track"; GDP and employment market data indicate that economic activity will slow down in an orderly manner, and the supply-demand relationship will tend to be balanced.