首页 News 正文

This is an acquisition that investors cannot understand, but the acquirer's boss does not care. He said, 'If you don't understand, it's right.'.
On the evening of September 23rd, in response to the official announcement of the investment in Yonghui Supermarket (601933. SH), Ye Guofu, founder, chairman, and CEO of Miniso (09896. HK; MNSO. US), left a message on the WeChat Moments of Miniso CFO Zhang Jingjing, saying, "If everyone can't understand it, then it's right. If everyone can understand it, I won't have a chance." Miniso announced that it will acquire 29.4% of Yonghui Supermarket's equity for 6.27 billion yuan that evening.
If the transaction is completed, Miniso will become the largest shareholder of Yonghui Supermarket.
Message from Ye Guofu on the CFO's WeChat Moments of Miniso Source: Interviewee

Mingchuang Youpin acquisition, JD.com significantly reduces holdings

Yonghui's ownership change is expected to be completed in the first half of next year
Miniso is fully prepared for this acquisition. After the announcement of the acquisition, a conference call was immediately held. At the meeting, Ye Guofu prepared "3 questions of concern to everyone":
Why invest in Yonghui?
Chinese offline supermarkets are facing a once-in-20-year structural opportunity. Yonghui, with the help of Pang Dong's adjustment, will return to the essence of retail and will surely achieve success.
How can Miniso strategically collaborate with Yonghui after investing?
Firstly, there is channel upgrading. Yonghui, as a leading brand, helps Miniso to acquire stores together in shopping centers, and then collaborates with the supply chain. Ye Guofu emphasized that Yonghui Supermarket will not become a sales channel for Miniso, but will use Miniso's supply chain to leverage Yonghui's channels, adjust prices based on quantity, and complement resources.
How does investing in Yonghui help create shareholder value for Miniso?
Yonghui's business is at a turning point, and Ye Guofu believes that Yonghui is an undervalued investment target in the market and may become one of the growth engines for Miniso's profits. As a leading offline fresh food retail supermarket, Yonghui's essential goods track can make Miniso Group's offline retail layout more complete, and also help the group diversify its cyclical business risks.
Zhang Jingjing said in a conference call that after the acquisition of 29.4% equity of Yonghui Supermarket, Miniso will become the largest shareholder of Yonghui Supermarket. "However, we do not expect to control a majority of the board of directors, so we will not be the controlling shareholder or actual controller of Yonghui Supermarket, nor will we merge financial statements. This is a judgment made based on the current situation. The transaction is expected to be completed in the first half of 2025
In addition, regarding whether the company can cover the transaction amount, Zhang Jingjing also said, "The company currently has nearly 7 billion yuan in cash on paper and almost no interest bearing liabilities. In the future, it is expected to obtain low-cost financing of 60% of the transaction consideration from external channels such as banks
However, Red Star Capital noticed that just as Miniso announced its bullish view on Yonghui Supermarket, Beijing JD Century Trading Co., Ltd. reduced its holdings of nearly 90 million shares in Yonghui Supermarket in three installments within less than two months.
Ye Guofu values the "Fat East Coming Model"

Industry: Miniso has stronger capabilities than RT Mart, Alibaba

Miniso acquires Yonghui Supermarket, and Ye Guofu repeatedly mentions Yonghui Supermarket's teacher - Fat Donglai.
During the conference call, he mentioned Fat Donglai at least seven times and stated that he believed the Fat Donglai model was the only way out for Chinese supermarkets. He explained that retail business emphasizes the "three realities": on-site, real, and physical. Therefore, he strongly recommends that everyone visit Pangdonglai in Henan, or visit nearby Yonghui Supermarket stores that Pangdonglai has helped adjust and improve, in order to better understand the original intention of this investment.
Ye Guofu's strong recognition stems from his belief that Pangdonglai is the retail enterprise with the highest salary and the best benefits in China, and it is also the retail enterprise with the highest land and personnel efficiency in China.
He also cited data from Pangdonglai's assistance in the renovation of Yonghui Supermarket: After 19 days of closure and renovation, Yonghui's first store, Zhengzhou Xinwan Plaza store, had a first day sales revenue of 1.88 million yuan, nearly 14 times the daily average sales revenue before the renovation, and nearly 13000 foot traffic, 5.3 times the daily average foot traffic before the renovation; After 18 days of closure and renovation, Yonghui Fuzhou Park Road store's sales exceeded 1.1 million yuan on the first day of reopening, nearly 6 times the daily average sales before the renovation. The daily average customer flow was nearly 14000, 6.5 times the daily average customer flow before the renovation; Yonghui Xi'an Zhongmao Plaza store has resumed business for two days, with an average daily sales revenue of 1.6 million yuan and an average daily customer flow of over 14000 people.
Regarding Ye Guofu's above statement, Bao Yuezhong, a long-time practitioner in the retail industry, told Red Star Capital Bureau that he did not understand this acquisition. He explained that the high level effect and high human effect of Pangdonglai are not so meaningful in practice, because it is difficult to replicate the Pangdonglai model at present. It is difficult to become a replicable retail business model like Carrefour, Wal Mart, 711, etc., because it only opens stores in Xuchang, Henan and other cities.
He pointed out that from the perspective of the few stores that Pangdong helped Yonghui Supermarket adjust, they are all quite special. In the shopping center, theoretically, there is no shortage of customers and they can quickly convert. For Yonghui's nationwide stores, he believes it is impossible to adjust according to the Donglai model. So, it believes that if Ye Guofu decides to acquire Yonghui Supermarket, it is because of the data of these stores, which the retail industry cannot understand.
What Yonghui Supermarket needs more in this acquisition is a systematic solution to address the industry's decline. He believes that Miniso's capabilities will not be stronger than those of companies such as RT Mart and Alibaba.
Multiple supermarket acquisitions in recent years

[align center] There are still no successful cases to date

After the announcement of the acquisition, on September 23rd local time, the stock price of Miniso fell by 16.65%; On September 24th, after the opening of the Hong Kong stock market, the stock price of Miniso also fell sharply, with a drop of nearly 40% during the trading session and closing down 23.86% on the same day.
On the same day, UBS released a report stating that its investment in Yonghui Supermarket is expected to have a short-term negative impact on the stock price of Miniso, as Yonghui Supermarket's short-term profit volatility is high, the visibility of potential turnaround from losses to profits is low, and investors are concerned about Miniso's non core business investments and cash utilization.
The concerns of the capital market can be answered through supermarket acquisition cases. Up to now, offline hypermarkets such as Carrefour, RT Mart and Bubugao (i.e. * ST Bugao, 002251. SZ) have all experienced acquisition or strategic investment, and the effect is not obvious.
In 2019, Suning Yigou acquired Carrefour China. Since the second half of 2020, Carrefour has changed from profit to loss due to community group purchase competition, Suning liquidity crisis and other factors. Suning's reform of Carrefour and Carrefour's advantage in the supply chain have made it frequent to close stores and collect debts from suppliers in recent years.
In 2020, Alibaba acquired RT Mart. This year, Shen Hui, CEO of Sun Yat sen Retail (06808. HK), the parent company of RT Mart, apologized to investors for the company's net loss of 1.605 billion yuan in the 2024 fiscal year, which is the largest loss for Sun Yat sen Retail in 13 years since its listing.
In 2018, BBK received strategic investments from Tencent and JD.com, totaling 890 million yuan and 740 million yuan respectively. In April 2022, Tencent and JD.com successively reduced their holdings of BBK. As of press time, JD.com has withdrawn from the top ten shareholders of BBK.
Red Star News reporter Cheng Luyang
CandyLake.com 系信息发布平台,仅提供信息存储空间服务。
声明:该文观点仅代表作者本人,本文不代表CandyLake.com立场,且不构成建议,请谨慎对待。
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 立即注册

本版积分规则

楚一帆 注册会员
TA的帖子